Thursday, March 28, 2013

A No-Fly Zone for Libya

John F. Kerry, US Senator and Chairman, Senate Foreign Relations Committee, takes a view on The Implications of a no-fly zone Over Libya in The Prevailing Situation in The Country

Leaders around the world are vigorously debating the advisability of establishing a no-fly zone to stop the violence unfolding in Libya. Some cite Bosnia, where NATO took too long to protect civilian populations in the mid-1990’s, as a reason to act. Others remember Rwanda, where President Bill Clinton later expressed regret for not acting to save innocent lives. But the stakes in Libya today are more appropriately underscored by the tragedy in southern Iraq in the waning days of the Persian Gulf War twenty years ago.

As coalition forces were routing the Iraqi army in February 1991, President George H. W. Bush encouraged the Iraqi people to “take matters into their hands to force Saddam Hussein, the Dictator, to step aside.” When Iraqi Shiites, Kurds, and Marsh Arabs rebelled against Hussein, they believed that American forces would protect them against their brutal dictator’s superior firepower.

Instead, when Iraqi attacked helicopters and elite troops began butchering their own people, coalition forces were ordered to stand down. The world watched as thousands of Iraqis were slaughtered.

The situation in Libya today is not identical. Inspired by events in Tunisia and Egypt, the Libyan people rose up spontaneously against four decades of repression by Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi. Still, the specter that haunts me is the same – ordinary people facing off against an autocrat’s airpower and well-armed soldiers, counting on the free world to protect them against massacre after we have applauded and bolstered their bravery with our words.

So far, Qaddafi’s forces have relied on airpower selectively. But Qaddafi is shrewd. My fear is that he is either choosing to bleed the opposition to death, rather than invite global action with a broad massacre, or waiting for the world to prove itself unwilling to act – at which point he might well begin killing civilians in large numbers.

We cannot wait for that to happen. We need to take concrete steps now so that we are prepared to implement a no-fly zone immediately if Qaddafi starts using his airpower to kill large numbers of civilians. Diplomacy is urgently needed to build broad support for a no-fly zone.

The most important imprimatur should come madman from the United Nations (UN), where debate should begin immediately over a resolution authorising a no-fly zone. China and Russia have expressed reservations. If the Security Council fails to authorise action, those of us determined to protect Libyan civilians will face a more difficult choice should the violence escalate.

So, our diplomatic efforts must extend beyond the UN. The support of NATO and the African Union are important. To avoid the perception of NATO or the US attacking another Muslim country, the backing of the Arab world is also needed.


Source : IIPM Editorial, 2012.
An Initiative of IIPM, Malay Chaudhuri
and Arindam Chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).

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